Utrecht II vs Willem II Prediction
Here are the main statistics, betting tips and the best prediction for Utrecht II vs Willem II.
Utrecht II |
 Willem II |
This is the curious duel that marks the meeting between the worst and the best team of this Eerste Divisie 2023/2024. Jong Utrecht is last placed in the league table and even has the second worst attack and the second worst defense in the league. To make matters worse, they have 6 defeats in a row and have won only 1 of the last 18 games played. Willem II arrives motivated by 4 consecutive victories to defend the leadership of the championship and boasts the position of best attack and best defense among the 20 competing clubs. The difference between the teams was proven in the last direct confrontation, on 10-11-2023, for the 14th round of this season, when Willem II won (2-1) at their stadium. Considering all this, we will bet on Willem II's Half-Time Asian Handicap -0.5 as we hope that favoritism will be confirmed and the visitors will be able to secure a victory in the first 45 minutes of the contest. It is worth mentioning that Willem II's best period for scoring goals away from home comprises exactly the first 15 minutes of matches and the team conceded only 4 goals in total in the first stages played as a visitor.
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Utrecht II and Willem II face each other at the Stadion Galgenwaard, in a match for the 33rd round of the Eerste Divisie. It was Willem II who won at home by (2‑1) the last time they met in this edition of the league, on 10‑11‑2023. The history of recent direct confrontations is favorable to the visiting team, which has 2 wins and 1 draw in the last 3 games. The home advantage may play an important role in this match, as Utrecht II presents significant differences between home and away results.
The home team is currently in 20th place, with 23 points won, after 5 wins, 8 draws and 19 defeats. In the penultimate match, they lost at home to FC Emmen by (2‑3). In the last match, they lost away to Telstar by (5‑1). This is a team affected by the home advantage, stronger when playing at home, since in the last 30 matches they have recorded 1 win, 2 draws and 12 losses as a visitor, with 10 goals scored and 42 conceded, against 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats at home, with 14 goals scored and 19 conceded. In the last 10 home games in the championship, Utrecht II has recorded 1 win, 3 draws and 6 defeats, having won 6 points out of a possible 30.
In this competition, they lost their last 5 matches at home and did not win any of the last 9 they played at their stadium. The team has allowed goals to its opponent in 9 of the last 10 games it has played in this competition, so it has not been very strong defensively. In their home games there is a tendency for few goals, as 10 of their last 15 games in the competition ended with Under 2.5 goals. In 32 games in this competition, they conceded the first goal 17 times and only managed to turn the score around once.
Jong Utrecht has the opportunity to leave last place in this 2023/2024 Eerste Divisie, but will need to improve its performance significantly as it has been defeated in the last 6 rounds and has won only 1 of the 18 most recent games in the championship. As home team, there are 5 consecutive defeats and 9 matches without a win after 3 draws and 6 lost duels. The terrible results are easily justified by the numerous problems presented by Jong Utrecht in the league. Among which, it stands out the fact that it has the second worst attack, with 28 goals scored in 32 games, and it is also the worst attack among the home team with 14 goals scored in 15 performances at its stadium. The team also has the second worst defense in the championship with 64 goals conceded. Coach Ivar van Dinteren will not be able to repeat his last starting line-up, based on the 4-3-3 formation, as right-back Rickson van Hees will be suspended due to the accumulation of 5 yellow cards during the season. His likely replacement will be Michel Driezen. The team's main hope for goals is striker Jesse van de Haar, who was recently called up to the Netherlands under-19 team and is one of the top scorers in the Jong Utrecht squad with 5 goals scored in 30 appearances, although he failed to score. score a goal in the 5 most recently played matches.
Confirmed lineup: Jesse van de Haar, Andreas Frederik Dithmer, Lynden Edhart, Adrian Blake, Nazjir Held, Michel Driezen, Sil van der Wegen, Wessel Kooy, Gibson Yah, S. Andersen, Joshua Mukeh.
Technician: A. Plugboer.
The visiting team is currently in 1st place, with 69 points won, after 21 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats. In the penultimate match, they won at home to VVV‑Venlo by (2‑0). In the last match, they won away to Helmond Sport by (0‑2). This is a team little affected by the home factor, that is, it presents similar results at home and away, since in the last 30 games it has recorded 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats as a visitor, with a total of 31 goals scored and 11 conceded. At home, they won 11 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats, with a total of 35 goals scored and 16 conceded. In the last 10 away games in the championship, Willem II has recorded 7 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat, having won 23 points out of 30 possible. Their attack has scored regularly, having scored goals in 9 of the last 10 games for this competition. In their away games for this competition there is a tendency for few goals, as in 11 of the last 16 they played there were less than 3 goals. In 32 games for the Eerste Divisie, they conceded the first goal 13 times but managed to turn the score around in 5. In the last 16 away games for this competition there is 1 period that stands out: they conceded 4 of their 11 goals between minutes (76'‑ 90').
Willem II arrives motivated by 4 consecutive victories to defend its advantage at the top of this Eerste Divisie 2023/2024. A new triumph will leave the club 5 points ahead of second-placed Roda and 8 points ahead of third-placed Groningen, the main opponents in the fight for direct access to next season's Eredivisie. Willem II has the best campaign among the visitors, with 31 points won in 16 performances and is even the team that has conceded the least goals away from home, as it has only conceded 11 goals to its home opponents. In general, in fact, the club presents the perfect balance with the best attack and best defense in the league with a total of 66 goals scored and 28 goals conceded in 32 games played. Belgian coach Peter Maes has no known absences and will be able to repeat his ideal starting lineup, based on the 4-4-2 formation with emphasis on 3 fundamental players: Joshua Smits – one of the leading goalkeepers in clean sheets with a total of 11 games without conceding goals, the right winger Tommy St. Jago – the best tackler in the competition with a rate of 3 tackles made per performance – and also the right winger Nick Doodeman, second in assists in the championship with the mark of 13 passes that resulted in goals in his 26 performances.
Confirmed lineup: Amine Lachkar, Joshua Smits, Erik Schouten, Tommy St Jago, Rob Nizet, Max Svensson, Jesse Bosch, Raffael Behounek, Thijs Oosting, Jeredy Hilterman, Nick Doodeman.
Technician: G. Vink.
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