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Moreirense vs Gil Vicente Prediction

Here are the main statistics, betting tips and the best prediction for Moreirense vs Gil Vicente.

Moreirense logo

Moreirense

Gil Vicente logo
Gil Vicente


Gil Vicente de Tozé Marreco is still an unknown, first of all due to the model that the new coach may present that differs from what Vítor Campelos used. But even if there is this change in the game system, it will be difficult for the team to assimilate it. Given that Moreirense is a reliable team, when they play at home, it will be difficult for Gil Vicente to win. On the other hand, this is a game that should have at least 2 goals, since Moreirense usually scores at home and plays without pressure. But Gil Vicente will have to take risks, under penalty of falling into the relegation zone. Therefore, given everything that has been exposed, the best bet is the double possibility for Moreirense with more than 1.5 goals. This bet quotes 1.78 on Betano.

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Moreirense and Gil Vicente play at Parque Desportivo Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas, in a match from the 30th round of the Primeira Liga. In the last confrontation between these teams in this competition, on 11‑12‑2023, the final result was a draw by (1‑1). The history of direct confrontations played at this stadium favors the home team, which in the last 3 matches won 1 and drew 2. However, in the last confrontation at this stadium, in the Primeira Liga, on 26‑11‑2021, the game ended in a draw by (2‑2). The goals of the match were scored by Steven Vitória (90') and Yan (49') for Moreirense and by Samuel Lino (68') and Fran Navarro (77') for Gil Vicente. In this match the home advantage could play a decisive role, as Gil Vicente has presented differences in performance in its home and away games.

After 12 wins, 7 draws and 10 defeats, the home team is in 6th place, having won 43 points. In the last match, they lost to Benfica away by (3‑0), after in the previous game having drawn at home, in a game against Estrela Amadora, by (2‑2). This is a team little affected by the home factor, that is, it presents similar results at home and away, since in the last 30 matches it has recorded 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats as a visitor, with 14 goals scored and 19 conceded, against 7 wins. , 4 draws and 4 defeats at home, with 19 goals scored and 16 conceded. In the last 10 home games in the championship, Moreirense has recorded 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats, having won 18 points out of 30 possible. In their home games there are some frequent scores: at half-time 0-0 (6 in 14 games) and at the end of the game 1-0 (5 in 14 games). In their home games there is a tendency for few goals, as 9 of their last 14 games in the competition ended with Under 2.5 goals. In 29 games in the competition, they never managed to turn the score around in the 10 games in which they conceded the first goal.

Moreirense is a very calm team at this point and knows that although mathematically they can still reach 5th place, this is a practically impossible objective. Therefore, the ultimate objective of Moreira de Cónegos' team will be to maintain the place they occupy in the championship at the moment. But the competition is great and Arouca (7th place) has the same number of points and Famalicão has 8 less, being in 8th position. Therefore, the fight for 6th place should be played between Moreirense and Arouca, with Famalião looking for an opportunity. Moreirense hasn't won in three rounds, but they had games of enormous difficulty, such as the trip to Estádio da Luz where they lost 3-0) and also the trip to Vitória de Guimarães where they were defeated (1-0) . This makes it a priority for Moreirense to return to winning ways, and they could hardly have a better opponent to try to achieve this goal.

Confirmed lineup: Caio Secco, Fabiano, Ponck, Maracás, Godfried Owusu Frimpong, Kobamelo Kodisang, Gonçalo Franco, Lawrence Ofori, Alan Souza, João Camacho, Vinicius Alessandro Mingotti.
Technician: P. Martins Alves.

The visiting team is currently in 14th place, with 28 points won, after 7 wins, 7 draws and 15 defeats. In the penultimate match, they lost away to Rio Ave by (3‑0). In the last match, they lost at home to Sporting CP by (0‑4). This is a stronger team when it plays at home, as in the last 30 games it has recorded 4 wins, 1 draw and 10 defeats as a visitor; against 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 losses at their stadium. In the last 10 away games for the championship, Gil Vicente has recorded 2 wins, 1 draw and 7 defeats, having won 7 points out of 30 possible. In their league games as a visitor, the most frequent result at half-time was 0-0 (5 in 14 games). Defensive solidity has not been their strong point, as they have conceded goals in 8 of the last 10 games for this competition. In their away games there tends to be goals, as 10 of their last 14 games in the competition ended with Over 2.5 goals. In 29 games in this competition, they conceded the first goal 15 times and only managed to turn the score around once.

Gil Vicente's team is getting dangerously close to the relegation zone. The team has not won in seven games and counts the last four games as defeats. What is also worrying is the vulnerability that the Gilista team has shown in the last few rounds. In the last round, they hosted the leader Sporting and were beaten by (0-4). And in the previous round, at Rio Ave's home, the Minho team lost by a landslide (3-0). This Gil Vicente is “a shadow” of what he has already shown this season, where he was one of the good surprises of the championship. However, Vítor Campelos was the coach but ended up leaving, leaving Carlos Cunha as interim coach. Carlos Cunha was in the game against Sporting, but in the meantime Gil Vicente has already announced its new coach – Tozé Marreco. This could be important information, especially to see if the team reacts to the arrival of the new coach. For now, the priority is to score points, and anything that isn't a victory in this round could cause “the roosters” to fall into the relegation zone.

Confirmed lineup: Andrew, Alex Pinto, Jonathan Buatu, Roman Gbane, Gabriel Pereira Magalhães dos Santos, Maxime Dominguez, Kanya Fujimoto, Leonardo Daniel Ulineia Buta, Murilo, Ali Alipour, Felix Correia.
Technician: I. Abreu Vieira.

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