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PSV II vs Willem II Prediction

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Here are the main statistics, betting tips and the best prediction for PSV II vs Willem II.

PSV II logo

PSV II

Willem II logo
Willem II


This is an important duel of the round as Willem II has the chance to gain an 8-point lead at the top of the 2023/2024 Eerste Divisie and to do so, all they need to do is beat Jong PSV, who is the worst home team in the competition. The last 9 rounds of the championship clearly show the difference between the teams: Jong PSV recorded 4 draws and 5 defeats while Willem II recorded 7 wins and 2 draws. Among other curiosities, the match also marks the duel between the worst defense in the championship receiving the second best attack. In the last direct confrontation, on 27-10-2023, Willem II proved its superiority by beating Jong PSV by rout (3-0), at their stadium. Therefore, considering all these indicators, we will bet on leader Willem II to win this game again.

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PSV II and Willem II face each other at Sportcomplex De Herdgang, in a match for the 23rd round of the Eerste Divisie. It was Willem II who won at home by (3‑0) the last time they faced each other in this edition of the league, on 27‑10‑2023. The history of recent direct confrontations between these two teams indicates total balance, as there were 1 draw and 1 win for each team in the last 3 games.

The home team is currently in 16th place, with 20 points won, after 5 wins, 5 draws and 12 defeats. In the penultimate match, they tied away to Helmond Sport by (2‑2). In the last match, they lost away to De Graafschap by (4‑2). For the championship, PSV II won 6 points out of a possible 30, after 1 win, 3 draws and 6 defeats in the last 10 games they played at their stadium.

In this competition, they have not won any of the last 9 games at their stadium. In their league games at home, the most frequent score at half-time was 1-0 (4 in 11 games). The team has allowed goals to its opponent in 9 of the last 10 games, so it has not shown great defensive solidity, but its attack has scored regularly, as it has managed to score goals in 7 of the last 10 games in this competition. In their home matches for the competition there is a tendency for goals, as 9 out of 11 ended with Over 2.5 goals on the scoreboard. In 22 games in this competition, they only managed to turn the score around once in the 11 games in which they conceded the first goal. There are 2 periods that stand out in the last 11 home matches in this competition: they scored 6 of their 15 goals between minutes (61'‑75'); conceded 13 of their 24 goals between minutes (76'‑90').

Jong PSV is the worst home team in the 2023/2024 Eerste Divisie. There were 3 draws and 6 defeats in the last 9 home matches and in 8 of them the club conceded at least 2 goals. This contributed greatly to Jong PSV's defense being the worst in the championship, with 49 goals conceded in 22 games, so the team is also the one who conceded the most goals at home, with 24 goals conceded in 11 matches at their stadium. Still, interestingly, Jong PSV has the highest average ball possession in the competition with a rate of 55.5% per round. The club has gone 9 rounds without winning with 4 draws and 5 defeats in its last matches. The team comes from an international experience, on 25-01-2024, when they won away from home, by (0-7), the Leeds under-21 team, from England, in the U21 Premier League International Cup. Coach Willy Boessen has no absences and could repeat his last lineup.

Confirmed lineup: Muhlis Dağaşan, Matteo Dams, Tygo Land, Jevon Simons, Jesper Uneken, N. Schiks, Koen Jansen, Mylian Jimenez, Isaac Babadi, Emir Bars, Mohamed Nassoh.
Technician: P. Uneken.

The visiting team is currently in 1st place, with 49 points won, after 15 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats. In the penultimate match, they won away to TOP Oss by (0‑5). In the last match, they tied at home to Jong Ajax by (1‑1). In the championship, Willem II won 20 points out of 30 possible, after 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats in the last 10 games they played as a visitor. Defensive solidity has not been its strong point, as it has conceded goals in 8 of the last 10 games, but its attack has scored regularly, as it has scored goals in 9 of the last 10 games for this competition. In their away games there is a tendency for few goals, as 7 of their last 11 games in the competition ended with Under 2.5 goals. In 22 games in this competition, they managed to turn the score around in 5 of the 9 games in which they conceded the first goal. In the last 11 away games for this competition there is 1 period that stands out: they conceded 3 of their 7 goals between minutes (76'‑90').

Willem II is the best team in this Eerste Divisie 2023/2024 and now has the chance to extend its advantage over second-placed Roda, who only drew in this round. If they score, the team will also become the best visiting team in the league. The club has the second best attack in the championship, with 47 goals scored, and the second best defense, with 19 goals conceded in 22 games, and away from home they have conceded the least goals with only 7 goals conceded in 11 away performances. The defensive consistency is so great that even though it is the team that makes the fewest tackles, with a rate of 13.8 tackles made per game, and the least fouls, with an average of 8.9 fouls committed per round, Willem II is the third highest record holder of clean sheets with a total of 7 entire matches without conceding a goal in the championship. The team has been unbeaten for 9 rounds in the league, with 7 wins and 2 draws, and away from home they have 4 wins and 1 draw in their 5 most recent matches. Belgian coach Peter Maes has a question when defining his lineup: midfielder Michael de Leeuw was injured in the last match and if he is unable to play, he will have to be replaced by Jeredy Hilterman, a native of Suriname. The highlights of Willem II, however, are confirmed: Joshua Smits – the goalkeeper with the record for clean sheets in the league as he was present in the 7 games in which the club did not concede a goal, right-back Tommy St. Jago – the greatest tackler in the championship with a rate of 3.3 tackles made per performance – and also the extreme right winger Nick Doodeman – one of the competition's assist leaders with a total of 8 passes for goals in 16 matches he played.

Confirmed lineup: Joshua Smits, Erik Schouten, Tommy St Jago, Rúnar Sigurgeirsson, Ringo Meerveld, Jesse Bosch, Raffael Behounek, Nick Doodeman, Michael De Leeuw, Jeredy Hilterman, Matthias Verreth.
Technician: G. Vink.

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