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Ajax vs Dordrecht Prediction

Here are the main statistics, betting tips and the best prediction for Ajax vs Dordrecht.

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This is a duel in which both teams are looking to recover after being defeated in the last round of this Eerste Divisie 2023/2024. Jong Ajax is a team that likes to keep the ball and has a curious peculiarity when playing at home: it is the second team that has conceded the least goals at home despite having, in general, the second worst defense in the championship. Dordrecht, on the other hand, is a team that demonstrates strong defensive application, especially in disarming, and will need to try to maintain a positive result to gain a position in the league table. In the last direct confrontation, on 20-10-2023, for the 11th round of the current season, Dordrecht won (4-0) at their stadium. Still, due to the characteristics and moments experienced by both sides, we will bet on Under 3.5 Goals in this match as it is something that occurred in 80% of Jong Ajax's home games and in 60% of Dordrecht's away matches.

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Ajax and Dordrecht play at Sportpark De Toekomst, in a match for the 23rd round of the Eerste Divisie. In the last confrontation between these teams in this competition, on 20‑10‑2023, FC Dordrecht won at home by (4‑0). The history of direct confrontations played at this stadium indicates a balance between these two teams, as there were 2 victories for each team in the last 4 matches. However, in the last confrontation at this stadium, in a match for the Eerste Divisie, on 03‑04‑2023, Jong Ajax won by (4‑1). The goals of the match were scored by S. Vos (90' and 21'), O. Aertssen (79') and D. Jermoumi (40') for Ajax and by T. Touré (35') for Dordrecht. The home/away condition deserves special attention, since although this is a match between 15th and 4th in the general classification, in fact this is a clash between the 7th classified in home games and the 11th as a visitor.

After 5 wins, 8 draws and 9 defeats, the home team is in 15th place, having won 23 points. In the last match, they lost to FC Groningen at home by (0‑1), after in the previous game having drawn away, in a game against Willem II, by (1‑1). This is a stronger team at home, where they won 18 points, compared to just 5 in their away games. For the championship, Ajax won 18 points out of 30 possible, after 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats in the last 10 games they played at their stadium. Defensive solidity has not been its strong point, as it has conceded goals in 8 of the last 10 games, but its attack has scored regularly, as it has scored goals in 9 of the last 10 games in this competition. In 22 games in this competition, they only managed to turn the score around twice in the 11 games in which they conceded the first goal.

Jong Ajax is trying to find its way back to victory as it has been 4 rounds without winning after 3 draws and 1 game lost, with the defeat being precisely at home, in the last round, and interrupting a sequence of 4 wins and 8 unbeaten duels in your stadium. The team has conceded goals in the last 7 matches and defensive behavior has been a big problem: with 42 goals conceded in 22 games, the team has the second worst defense in the 2023/2024 Eerste Divisie although, interestingly, it is the second best home defense with only 9 goals conceded in 10 home appearances. With an average of 54.9%, Jong Ajax has the second highest ball possession rate in the league and thus presents a little less defensive application, meaning it is the third team with the least mistakes and the least disarming, with rates of 9. 1 foul committed and 14.3 tackles made per round. Coach Dave Vos has no absences and will be able to repeat the team's lineup, in a 4-2-3-1 formation, with emphasis on striker Gabriel Misehouy, who is the second highest finisher in the championship with an average of 3.3 shots per game.

Confirmed lineup: Nassef Chourak, Julian Christiaan Brandes, Silvano Cliff Robbie Vos, Jaydon Amauri Banel, Oualid Agougil, Tom Gerard de Graaff, David Kalokoh, Ahmetcan Kaplan, Olivier Aertssen, Kian Fitz-Jim, Anton Gaaei.

The visiting team is currently in 4th place, with 36 points won, after 9 wins, 9 draws and 4 defeats. In the penultimate match, they won at home to Helmond Sport by (2‑0). In the last match, they lost away to Jong AZ by (5‑1). This is a stronger team at home, where they won 23 points, compared to just 13 in their away games. In the championship, Dordrecht won 13 points out of 30 possible, after 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats in the last 10 games they played as a visitor. Defensive solidity has not been its strong point, as it has conceded goals in 7 of the last 10 games, but its attack has scored regularly, as it has scored at least one goal in each of the last 10 games for this competition. In 22 games in this competition, they conceded the first goal 6 times and never managed to turn the score around.

Dordrecht needs to give a good response to their fans after the crushing defeat they suffered in the last round. A victory will not only avoid the possibility of the club falling to 7th place, but will also take the team to 5th place in the 2023/2024 Eerste Divisie table. The team has scored goals in the last 10 away matches and to achieve a positive result they rely on their exemplary defensive application which makes Dordrecht the second team that makes the most tackles in the league – with an average of 17.5 tackles made per match. Italian coach Michele Santoni has a doubt to define his lineup, generally based on the 4-3-3 formation: Belgian defender Antef Tsoungui depends on clearance from the Medical Department as he was injured in the last round's clash. His likely replacement, if necessary, will be Tim Receveur. Dordrecht's highlights are at least confirmed: midfielder Jari Schuurman, one of the leaders in assists in the competition with 8 passes for goals – although he has not directly contributed to the team scoring in his 6 most recent performances.

Confirmed lineup: Shiloh 't Zand, Ilias Sebaoui, Luca Plogmann, Ruben Kluivert, Antef Tsoungui, Léo Seydoux, Jop van den Avert, Tim Receveur, Rene Kriwak, Mathis Suray, Dylan Mbayo.

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Match result

This is one of the most basic. Thus, you will only have to choose who will win the match, the home team or the away team. In addition, there is also the option of a draw.

Total Goals

This bet consists of betting on the total number of balls in the nets, regardless of the team that will score. Generally, a value higher or lower than 2.5 goals is chosen. But this can vary depending on the situation of the teams.

Both teams score

In this one, we bet on whether both clubs will score goals or just one. So we have the positive and negative options. Generally, it is worth betting that both teams will put the ball in the nets. However, this can also vary.

Correct score

Getting the punctuation correct is actually more difficult. But for those who like to take chances, it's worth it. Since it would be gratifying to hit the target. Therefore, we also offer these types of bets in today's game predictions.

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Search long before

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Prefer individual bets

The more you bet, the lower your chances of winning. So avoid hoarding. Just as they prefer to bet only on one game. Including that you have more details, either about the teams or competitions.

What is the criteria for selecting games for today's picks?

Every day, different games take place around the world. In this way, we choose the most interesting of each day. Since it is impossible to cover all games. However, we also pay attention to the smaller championships, if necessary.

Which leagues are part of our game predictions today?

So, as said before, all European leagues are part of our betting tips. By the way, we have also included some lesser known competitions. Since not always the biggest ones will have matches on a given day.

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How do experts predict a match?

Our group of experts uses all possible information to write a football preview, both statistical information and information about the teams that will play. Within the analysis we observe the recent form of the teams, the most recent direct confrontation, attacking and defending capacity. After that we observe the less noticeable trends. We don't just look at the stats of the two teams involved, we also pay attention to news from the world of football in general before a prediction is given.

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