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Willem II vs Ajax Prediction

Here are the main statistics, betting tips and the best prediction for Willem II vs Ajax.

Willem II logo

Willem II

Ajax logo

This duel is expected to be quite unbalanced. This is because Willem II, the clear leader of this Eerste Divisie 2023/2024, owner of the second best attack and second best defense in the competition, hosts Jong Ajax, who in turn has not yet won away from home and is even the third worst visitor as well as the team that scored the most goals away from home. There is, however, an atmosphere of revenge as the last defeat suffered by Willem II in the league was precisely against Jong Ajax, away from home, by (1-0), on 06-11-2023, in the 13th round of this competition. Since then, Willem II has won 7 wins and 1 draw in the championship while Jong Ajax has since recorded 4 wins and 4 draws. It is expected that the home team will be able to prove their superiority on the field and that is why we will bet on Willem II's Half-Time Asian Handicap -0.5 in the expectation that the Eerste Divisie leader will already secure a victory in the first 45 minutes, which is actually the stage in which Jong Ajax conceded 18 of the 32 goals conceded away from home this season.

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Willem II and Ajax play at Koning Willem II Stadion, in a match for the 22nd round of the Eerste Divisie. In the last confrontation between these teams in this competition, on 06‑11‑2023, Jong Ajax won at home by (1‑0). The record of recent direct confrontations favors the home team, which in the last 3 matches won 2 and lost 1. In this match the home factor could play a decisive role, as Ajax has presented differences in performance in its home and away games. .

The home team is currently in 1st place, with 45 points won, after 15 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats. In the penultimate match, they won away to NAC Breda by (1‑2). In the last match, they won away to TOP Oss by (0‑5). This is a team that maintains its performance when playing away from home, as in the last 30 games it has recorded 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats as a visitor; against 12 wins and 3 losses at their stadium. For the championship, Willem II won 27 points out of 30 possible, after 9 wins and 1 loss in the last 10 games they played at their stadium.

In this competition, they have a sequence of 8 wins in their last home matches. In matches played at their stadium in the championship, the most frequent result at the end of the first 45' was 1‑1, which occurred in 4 of their 10 games. Defensive solidity has not been its strong point, as it has conceded goals in 7 of the last 10 games, but its attack has scored regularly, as it has scored goals in 9 of the last 10 games in this competition. In their home games there is a tendency for goals, as 9 of their last 10 games in the competition ended with Over 2.5 goals. In 21 games in this competition, he managed to turn the score around in 5 of the 9 games in which he conceded the first goal. There is 1 period that stands out in the last 10 home matches in this competition: they have conceded 4 of their 11 goals between minutes (16'‑30').

Willem II is considered the best team in this Eerste Divisie 2023/2024. In addition to the isolated leadership, with an 8 point advantage over the vice-leader and 9 points more than the first club outside the access zone for the next Eredivisie, Willem II is the best home team, owner of the second best attack and the second best defense in the championship, as well as the record holder for clean sheets. 27 points were achieved in 10 performances at their stadium. The team scored 46 goals and conceded just 18 in 21 league games. At home, they even have an incredible average of 2.6 goals scored per match. In this competition, Willem II has 8 unbeaten rounds with 7 wins and 1 draw. At their stadium, they have won their last 8 matches in the Eerste Divisie. To improve, Belgian coach Peter Maes has no absences and will be able to repeat his team's starting lineup with emphasis on Joshua Smits, one of the record-breaking goalkeepers in clean sheets in the league with a total of 7 performances without conceding a goal, and also for the full-back right Tommy St. Jago, the best tackler in the division with a rate of 3.3 tackles made per game.

Confirmed lineup: Jeremy Bokila, Joshua Smits, Erik Schouten, Valentino Vermeulen, Tommy St Jago, Jesse Bosch, Raffael Behounek, Ringo Meerveld, Matthias Verreth, Nick Doodeman, Michael De Leeuw.
Technician: G. Vink.

After 5 wins, 7 draws and 8 defeats, the visiting team is in 15th place, having won 22 points. In the last match, they drew away with FC Eindhoven by (2‑2), after in the previous match they drew away, in a game against Jong PSV, by (2‑2). This is a team affected by the home advantage, stronger when it plays with the support of its fans, since in the last 30 games it has recorded 2 wins, 4 draws and 9 defeats as a visitor, with a total of 21 goals scored and 37 conceded. At home, they won 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats, with a total of 31 goals scored and 21 conceded. In the last 10 away games in the championship, Ajax has recorded 4 draws and 6 defeats, having won 4 points out of 30 possible.

In this competition, they drew their last 4 games as a visitor and did not win any of the last 11 they played as a visitor. The team allowed goals to the opponent in 7 of the last 10 games, so they have not shown great defensive solidity, but their attack has scored regularly, as they managed to score goals in 9 of the last 10 games in this competition. In their away games there tends to be goals, as 10 of their last 11 games in the competition ended with Over 2.5 goals. In 20 games in this competition, they only managed to turn the score around twice in the 9 games in which they conceded the first goal. In the last 11 away games for this competition there is 1 period that stands out: they scored 7 of their 17 goals between minutes (76'‑90').

Jong Ajax hasn't lost in 8 rounds in this Eerste Divisie 2023/2024, after 4 wins and 4 draws, but incredibly they haven't managed to win away from home this season, having only managed 4 draws and suffered 7 defeats in 11 away performances. This makes the club the third worst visitor in the entire league. Furthermore, with 32 goals conceded in the 11 away matches, Jong Ajax is the visitor who conceded the most goals in the championship. Interestingly, however, the team tends to value ball control a lot and likes to propose the game, so much so that it has the third highest average ball possession in the competition with a rate of 54.6% per performance. Coach Dave Vos has no absences and will be able to repeat the line-up of his starting team with emphasis on midfielder Gabriel Misehouy, the second highest finisher in the league, with an average of 3.4 shots per game, and who has scored 6 goals and 3 assists distributed in 11 games played by him.

Confirmed lineup: Nassef Chourak, Gabriel Osei Misehouy, Oualid Agougil, Julian Christiaan Brandes, Tom Gerard de Graaff, Nick Verschuren, Jaydon Amauri Banel, David Kalokoh, Olivier Aertssen, Anass Salah-Eddine, Raphaël Boakye Sarfo.

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