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Guoan vs Shandong Prediction

Here are the main statistics, betting tips and the best prediction for Guoan vs Shandong.

Guoan logo

Guoan

Shandong logo
Shandong


This game is clearly a “clash of the titans”, as they are two of the strongest teams in the Chinese super league. In fact, the history speaks well of the balance that has been evident in these games. They have been intense games with goals, since 4 of the 5 clashes had goals from both teams, and in 60% there were even more than 2.5 goals. A draw does not serve the interests of either team, and would practically leave everything the same, in terms of the league table, with the possibility of Chengdu Rongcheng gaining points over Beijing Gouan and Shandong Taishan. Therefore, a game with goals and uncertainty as to the winner is expected again, and even with a high possibility of a new draw. Both teams scoring goals and more than 2.5 goals is an interesting bet that is priced at 1.70 and fits perfectly into the analysis of this game.

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Guoan and Shandong face at Workers' Stadium, in a match for the 17th round of the Super League. The two teams drew (0‑0), on 09‑03‑2024, the last time they met in this edition of the league. The head-to-head history played at this stadium favors the home team, which in the last 3 matches won 1 and drew 2. However, in the last match at this stadium, for the Super League, on 29‑04‑2023, the match ended in a draw (0‑0).

The home team is currently in 4th place, with 31 points won, after 9 wins, 4 draws and 3 losses. In the penultimate match, they lost in an away match against Henan Songshan Longmen by (2‑1). In the last match, they won at home against Cangzhou by (4‑0). In the last 7 home league matches, Guoan has a record of 5 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, having won 16 points out of 21 possible.

In this competition, they won the last 5 games they played at their stadium. The team has allowed goals to its opponent in 8 of the last 10 games, so it has not shown great defensive solidity, but its attack has scored with great regularity, as it has always scored at least one goal in the last 10 games in this competition. In their home games there is a tendency towards goals, as 11 of their last 16 games ended with Over 2.5 goals. In 16 games in this competition, he conceded the first goal 4 times and only managed to turn the score around once. In the last 16 home games in all competitions there is 1 period that stands out: he scored 15 of his 38 goals between minutes (76'‑90').

Beijing Gouan are back in good form after some unexpected results, including a draw at Qingdao Hainiu (1-1) and, above all, a defeat at Changchun Yatai (3-2). The team coached by Ricardo Soares even tried to get involved in the fight for the top 3 places, but were unable to keep up with the high levels of consistency of the two teams from Shanghai. They were also overtaken by Chengdu Rongcheng in 3rd place, so that will be Beijing Gouan's most immediate objective. And for now, they seem to be on the right track, having won their last 2 games convincingly, both by (4-0). It is important to note that they were against weaker opponents, such as Suzhou, in a game counting for the FA Cup, and also Cangzhou Lions. Now, in this 17th round, it is time to welcome another strong team from the Chinese super league, Shandong Taishan. This is one of the teams that could fight for the title, given the great quality of its squad. A duel that promises to be intense and with uncertainty as to the winner.

Confirmed lineup: Jiaqi Han, Michael Ngadeu, Lei Li, Mamadou Traore, Gang Wang, Zhang Xizhe, Nicholas Yennaris, Gonçalo Rodrigues, Lin Liangming, Samuel Adegbenro, Fabio Abreu.
Technician: S. Bilic.

The away team is currently in 5th place, with 30 points won, after 8 wins, 6 draws and 2 losses. In the penultimate match, they tied in an away match against Meizhou Hakka, by (0‑0). In the last match, they tied in an away match against Changchun Yatai, by (2‑2). In the league, Shandong won 13 points out of 24 possible, after 3 wins, 4 draws and 1 loss in the last 8 away matches.

For this competition, they have not lost any of the last 6 away games. In their league games as a visitor, the most frequent result at half-time was 0‑0 (3 in 8 games). Their attack has scored regularly, having scored goals in 8 of the last 10 games for this competition. In their away games there is a tendency for few goals, as 5 of their last 8 games for the competition ended with Under 2.5 goals. In 16 games for the Super League, they conceded the first goal 6 times but managed to turn the score around in 2. In the last 20 away games for all competitions there is 1 period that stands out: they scored 10 of their 28 goals between minutes (76' -90').

Shandong Taishan had the conditions to be in the fight for the title, but they have lacked consistency. Just look at the fact that they have only won 2 of their last 5 games. It is true that they are a very difficult team to beat, and their last defeat dates back to April, at Shanghai Port. However, a team that is a contender for the title cannot afford to lose points regularly, especially in games against much lesser-ranked opponents, such as Meizhou Hakka (0-0) or Changchun Yatai (2-2). With 30 points, and only 1 behind Beijing Gouan and 2 behind Chengdu Rongcheng, their main objective will be to reach 3rd place. To achieve this, it is essential that Shandong Taishan start to improve in games of high difficulty. However, so far they have only won at Chengdu Rongcheng by (0-1). They lost to Shanghai Shenhua (0-3) and lost to Shanghai Port by (4-3). This opponent promises to be a tough nut to crack once again. In the last 5 times that Shandong Taishan has played at Beijing Gouan, 4 games have ended in a draw and only 1 win for the home team.

Confirmed lineup: Dalei Wang, Liu Yang, Zheng Zheng, Jadson, Lisheng Liao, Yuanyi Li, Huang Zhengyu, Wenneng Xie, Valeri Qazaishvili, Xinghan Wu, Crysan.
Technician: K. Choi.

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