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Ajax vs Groningen Prediction

Here are the main statistics, betting tips and the best prediction for Ajax vs Groningen.

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This is a duel between two of the teams that most like to value possession of the ball and always try to propose the game. Also noteworthy is Jong Ajax's good defensive performance in their home games, as well as Groningen's defensive solidity in general this season. Considering all this, we will bet on Jong Ajax's Half-Time Asian Handicap +0.5 as we project good chances for the home team to hold on to the visitors' offensive momentum, especially in the first 45 minutes, which is a stage in which Jong Ajax conceded fewer goals at home and Groningen scored fewer goals as a visitor.

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Ajax and Groningen play at Sportpark De Toekomst, in a match for the 21st round of the Eerste Divisie. In the last confrontation between these teams in this competition, on 11‑08‑2023, FC Groningen won at home by (4‑1). The home/away condition deserves special attention, since although this is a match between 15th and 6th in the general classification, in fact this is a clash between the 6th classified in home games and the 12th as a visitor.

The home team plays a delayed 21st round match, against Groningen, after 5 wins, 8 draws and 8 losses in their league games so far. This is a team affected by the home factor, as they have won 18 points at home, with 16 goals scored and 8 conceded, against 4 points away, where they scored 18 goals and conceded 33. In the last 9 home games for the championship, Ajax records 5 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeat, having won 18 points out of 27 possible.

For this competition, they have a streak of 4 wins in their last home games and have not lost any of the last 8 games at their stadium. Defensive solidity has not been its strong point, as it has conceded goals in 8 of the last 10 games, but its attack has scored regularly, as it has scored at least one goal in each of the last 10 games in this competition. In 21 games in this competition, he conceded the first goal 10 times and only managed to turn the score around twice. In the last 20 home games in all competitions there is 1 period that stands out: he has conceded 10 of his 28 goals between minutes (31'‑45 ').

Jong Ajax is in a curious situation in this Eerste Divisie 2023/2024 as they haven't lost in 9 rounds, after 4 wins and 5 draws, but they also failed to win their last 3 games which all ended in a draw. The team scored goals in the last 10 matches they played, but in the 5 most recent they scored goals. As home team, they stand out for having won the last 4 duels at their stadium and for having 8 unbeaten matches at home with 5 wins and 3 draws. Furthermore, Jong Ajax has the second best home defense with 8 goals conceded in 9 home performances. The team's greatest characteristic is the valorization of ball possession, which even makes it have the third highest ball possession rate – which is 54.6% per round. Coach Dave Vos has a big doubt when it comes to defining his starting line-up: striker Gabriel Misehouy, scorer of the last goal and second highest finisher in the league with an average of 3.4 shots per performance, was injured in the last game. After that, however, he became available to the Ajax main team in the Eredivisie game on 21-01-2023.

Confirmed lineup: Silvano Cliff Robbie Vos, Jaydon Amauri Banel, David Kalokoh, Gabriel Osei Misehouy, Tom Gerard de Graaff, Anass Salah-Eddine, Olivier Aertssen, Ahmetcan Kaplan, Kian Fitz-Jim, Anton Gaaei, Raphaël Boakye Sarfo.

The visiting team is currently in 6th place, with 32 points won, after 8 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats. In the penultimate match, they tied away to MVV Maastricht by (1‑1). In the last match, they won at home to Jong Utrecht by (2‑1). This is a stronger team at home, where they won 21 points, compared to just 11 in their away games. In the last game they played, for KNVB Beker, they beat Excelsior away by (0‑2). In the last 9 away games in the championship, Groningen has recorded 2 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats, having won 9 points out of 27 possible. Their attack has scored regularly, having scored goals in 8 of the last 10 games for this competition. In 20 games in this competition, they only managed to turn the score around twice in the 9 games in which they conceded the first goal. There is 1 period that stands out in the last 20 away matches for all competitions: he scored 9 of his 25 goals between minutes (61'‑75').

Groningen defends its place within the qualifying zone for the playoffs and is in great shape considering that it has won the last 3 and has not lost the 11 most recent official matches it played in the season. Away from home there are 6 unbeaten matches with 4 wins and 2 draws. The team's greatest highlight is its defensive solidity as the club has the third best defense in the championship, with 20 goals conceded in 20 games, and among the visitors it is the second team that has conceded the least goals with a total of 10 goals conceded in 9 actuations. The appreciation of ball possession is also characteristic of the team as it has an average of 55% of ball possession per game, the second best rate in this Eerste Divisie 2023/2024. From this, Groningen is even able to be the club that takes the most shots in the league, with an average of 17.2 shots per round, although it is the third one that hits the goal the most with a rate of 5.6 correct shots on target. . Coach Dick Lukkien has no absences and could even repeat his last starting line-up, with emphasis on Hidde Jurjus, the second least leaked goalkeeper in the championship with a rate of 0.8 goals conceded per performance.

Confirmed lineup: Wouter Prins, Luciano Valente, Jorg Schreuders, Thom van Bergen, Thijmen Blokzijl, Hidde Jurjus, Marco Rente, Marvin Peersman, Joey Pelupessy, Johan Hove, Romano Postema.

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