Ajax vs Den Bosch Prediction
Here are the main statistics, betting tips and the best prediction for Ajax vs Den Bosch.
Ajax |
Den Bosch |
This is a duel between teams that are not having good campaigns and have no ambitions in this final stretch of the 2023/2024 Eerste Divisie. Jong Ajax likes to value possession of the ball and especially at home they have good defensive solidity. Den Bosch is also one of the worst visitors and presents a series of offensive problems caused by the difficulty of keeping the ball and creating opportunities to finish and finally score goals. Even so, in the last direct confrontation, on 12/01/2023, for the 17th round of this season, there was a draw (3-3) at the Den Bosch stadium. Considering all this, we will bet on the “Double Chance & Total Goals” market, more precisely on the “Jong Ajax to win or draw and Over 2.5 Goals” option. It is worth mentioning that Jong Ajax lost only 4 of the 15 games they played at home and 60% of the matches at their stadium had at least 3 goals. Den Bosch won only 2 of their 15 away games and 53% of their away matches had 3 goals or more.
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Ajax and Den Bosch face each other at Sportpark De Toekomst, in a match for the 33rd round of the Eerste Divisie. The two teams drew (3‑3), on 01‑12‑2023, the last time they faced each other in this edition of the league. At this stadium, the history of direct confrontations is favorable to the home team, which has 2 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in the last 4 games. However, the last time they met at this stadium was on 14‑11‑2022, in a match for the Eerste Divisie that ended in a draw by (4‑4). The goals of the match were scored by C. Rasmussen (58' and 16' ), K. Fitz‑Jim (35' ) and S. Cliff Robbie Vos (50' ) for Ajax and by T. van Grunsven (52' ) , N. Moller (83' and 41' ) and O. Aertssen (77' Own goal) for Den Bosch. The home advantage may play an important role in this match, as Ajax presents significant differences between home and away results.
The home team is currently in 15th place, with 36 points won, after 9 wins, 9 draws and 14 defeats. In the penultimate match, they won at home against Jong PSV by (3‑0). In the last match, they lost away to FC Emmen by (4‑2). This is a stronger team when it plays at home, as in the last 30 games it has recorded 2 wins, 5 draws and 8 defeats as a visitor; against 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats at their stadium. In the last 10 home games in the championship, Ajax has recorded 6 wins, 1 draw and 3 defeats, having won 19 points out of 30 possible. Their attack has scored regularly, having scored goals in 8 of the last 10 games in this competition. In 32 games in this competition, they conceded the first goal 15 times and only managed to turn the score around twice.
Jong Ajax is a reserve team that only fulfills the table in this Eerste Divisie 2023/2024, but has the opportunity to reach 14th place in the league table. To do this, they have the third best home defense that conceded just 15 goals in the 15 performances played at their stadium. Another strong characteristic of Jong Ajax is the valorization of ball possession so that it has the second highest overall average with a rate of 54.9% per round. Coach Dave Vos only has the absence of right-back Raphaël Sarfo, injured since 11-03-2024, disrupting his plans for a starting line-up, based on the 4-2-3-1 formation. In this way, they will be able to repeat the team from the last match, with emphasis on Englishman Charlie Setford, the goalkeeper who makes the most saves in the competition, with an average of 4.2 shots saved per performance, but also the most leaked goalkeeper in the championship with an index of 2 .1 goals conceded per game played. Left-back ArJany Martha, born in Curaçao, is a fundamental player and draws attention as the second best tackler in the league with an average of 2.9 tackles made per round.
Confirmed lineup: Tristan Gooijer, Jaydon Amauri Banel, Oualid Agougil, Julian Christiaan Brandes, Tom Gerard de Graaff, Silvano Cliff Robbie Vos, Dies Janse, C. Borges, Kian Fitz-Jim, Julian Rijkhoff, Ar'jany Martha.
After 5 wins, 8 draws and 19 defeats, the visiting team is in 19th place, having won 23 points. In the last match, they lost to FC Dordrecht at home by (0‑3), after in the previous match they lost away, in a game against MVV Maastricht, by (1‑0). This is a team little affected by the home factor, that is, it presents similar results at home and away, since in the last 30 games it has recorded 2 wins, 3 draws and 10 defeats as a visitor, with a total of 11 goals scored and 27 conceded. At home, they won 2 wins, 6 draws and 7 defeats, with a total of 15 goals scored and 30 conceded. In the championship, Den Bosch won 6 points out of 30 possible, after 1 win, 3 draws and 6 defeats in the last 10 games they played as a visitor. In matches played away in the championship, the most frequent result at the end of the first 45' was 0‑0, which occurred in 6 of their 17 games. Defensive solidity has not been its strong point, as it has conceded goals in 7 of the last 10 games, and its attack has not been very successful, as it has not scored goals in 7 of the last 10 games for this competition. In 32 games in this competition, they conceded the first goal 16 times and only managed to turn the score around once. In the last 15 away games for this competition there is 1 period that stands out: they scored 4 of their 11 goals between minutes (76'‑90').
Den Bosch is trying to recover from the 3 defeats suffered in a row, having not even managed to score in the 2 most recent games. As a result, they are fighting to avoid falling to last place on the leaderboard for this Eerste Divisie 2023/2024. The biggest problem is that the performance away from home does not encourage the fans to react as the club is the third worst visitor in the league with only 9 points won in 15 performances. A big problem for Den Bosch is the lack of offensive power, which means the club has the second worst attack, with 28 goals scored, of which only 11 were scored away from home. This is caused especially by the second worst average of ball possession, with a rate of 44.9% per round, which makes him also the worst and second lowest finisher with averages of 3.2 shots on goal and 10 shots per game, respectively. Polish coach Tomasz Kaczmarek only has left winger Vieri Kotzebue missing due to an injury suffered on 03/08/2024. In this way, they will be able to repeat the last starting lineup, based on the 3-4-2-1 formation, with emphasis on right winger Jaron Vicario, born in Curaçao, who is the leader in assists among Den Bosch athletes with a total of 9 passes that resulted in goals in his 27 appearances.
Confirmed lineup: Krisztián Hegyi, Teun van Grunsven, Victor van den Bogert, Stan Maas, S. Oulad M'Hand, Nick de Groot, Jaron Vicario, Rik Mulders, Kacper Kostorz, Gedion Zelalem, Danny Verbeek.
Technician: W. van Overbeek.
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